Polymarket Trader

TKLA

0xc297a961437ba3b5baa1a1b9b99baca490d8c990

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $56.42K
Realized PnL: $6.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $60.2K
Potential profit: $56.62K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1.91K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $4.17K
Potential payout: $60.02K
Potential profit: $55.85K
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $7.53K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $52.47K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $790.02

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $58.89K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $3.51K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $56.49K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $58.53K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $7.05K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $52.95K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $58.72K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $434.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $8.19K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $51.81K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.94K

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $330
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $59.67K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $11.85K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $48.15K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $2.31K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $57.69K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $1.65K

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $60K
User PnL: -$459.78

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $282.29
Potential payout: $51.33K
Potential profit: $51.04K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$68.42

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $725
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.27K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $775
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.22K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $242
Potential payout: $44K
Potential profit: $43.76K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$154

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $33.13K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$252.49

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $21.65
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $116.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $383.75
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$48.75

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$250

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22K

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $899.99

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.66

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.24

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.12

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.31

Hawks position

Lakers vs. Hawks

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.87

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.69

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Senators position

Senators vs. Flyers

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.09

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Nuggets

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Oilers position

Sharks vs. Oilers

Ends Dec 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.09

No position

SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 12,162.77 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 35,558.21 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 8,675 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 858 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 6,728 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 81% 100 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 10,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 10,000 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 50,000 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 300 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 200 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 500 shares