Polymarket Trader

africanmonkey

0xc2a0389baf3c44d325ef8baa06b8a449a6868a19

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.64
Realized PnL: $220.34
Win rate: 41.2%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump disparage Xi Jinping on Thursday?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26K
Potential profit: $9.26K
User PnL: -$114.98

Yes position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$114

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $13.64
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$186.36

Yes position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Trump say the "N word" in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$101.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7PM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$145

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.54
Potential profit: $961.54
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $892.77
Potential profit: $892.77
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Xi events on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $849.7
Potential profit: $849.7
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $679.45
Potential profit: $679.45
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $626.88
Potential profit: $626.88
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9PM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.57
Potential profit: $233.57
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10PM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.67
Potential profit: $141.67
User PnL: -$21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10AM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.35

No position

Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.3

Yes position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.77

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.12

No position

Grokipedia released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10PM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10AM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.91

No position

Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$105

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Yes 2.3% 4,261.78 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 8.8% 2,272.73 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

Yes 16% 626.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10AM ET

Up 54% 74.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10AM ET

Down 55% 72.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10PM ET

Up 87% 37.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10PM ET

Up 54% 37.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10PM ET

Down 48% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9PM ET

Down 17.1% 233.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 8PM ET

Up 31% 96.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7PM ET

Down 3.8% 1,053.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on October 31?

Yes 0.1% 999.6 shares