Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $258.32
- Potential payout
- $637.05
- Potential profit
- $378.73
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $18.79
Polymarket Trader
m1a
0xc2a658f89d35ba50bd54a452b6e616dc4923417a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $368.14
- Realized PnL
- $73.89
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $109.82
- Potential payout
- $578
- Potential profit
- $468.18
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$311.29
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $456.1
- Potential profit
- $456.1
- User PnL
- -$410.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.83
No position
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.18
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.93
Switzerland position
Switzerland vs. Italy - who will advance?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.05
Yes position
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.04
Yes position
zkSync airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will France win Group D?
Ends Jun 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.45
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.35
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20.62
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$139.86
Yes position
Will Caeleb Dressel (USA) win Gold in Men's 100m Butterfly?
Ends Aug 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$198.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.6% 637.05 shares
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes 72.9% 578 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 24% 245.83 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 90% 456.1 shares
- Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?No 81% 37.83 shares
- Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?No 82% 788.7 shares
- Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes 47% 300 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No 99% 100 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No 97.4% 100 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 39.9% 482.89 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 71% 271.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 61% 271.36 shares