Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.97K
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- $497.5
Polymarket Trader
AudiVideTace
0xc2aee5cc1fbcae227b79289262902c80c5af2b6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.65K
- Realized PnL
- $4.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $290
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $190
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $270
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $210
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $999
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $935
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $105
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $244.47
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $55.53
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$25.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.83
No position
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.73
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.11
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $470.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.84
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.99
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.26
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.8
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.33
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.87
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.34
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.38
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 89% 1,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 5,000 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.1% 2,600 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 97.4% 2,000 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 76% 500 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 76% 2,000 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 81% 2,600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 76% 2,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 2,500 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 93.9% 207 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 76% 2,000 shares