Yes position
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Polymarket Trader
ephraim123
0xc2b9e536a22a5a09365a30defed3ff36a8339e85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.55
- Realized PnL
- $95.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.35
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?No 97.4% 10.4 shares
- Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?No 99.1% 3.48 shares
- Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?No 99% 3.8 shares
- Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?No 98.5% 6.66 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?Yes 26% 5.43 shares
- Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?No 7% 2.89 shares
- Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?Yes 99.5% 5.93 shares
- Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?No 68% 7.35 shares
- Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?No 75% 6.67 shares
- Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?Yes 99% 12.07 shares
- Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?Yes 60% 2.77 shares
- Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?Yes 99% 31.34 shares