Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $22.24
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Polymarket Trader
0xc2c0...2caa
0xc2c0c09adad446c7af817918ccd009c937982caa
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $33.49
- Realized PnL
- -$7.62
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.3
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10.17
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.75
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.39
- Potential profit
- $8.39
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $7.97
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- User PnL
- -$1.96
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Green Day" or "Bad Bunny" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?No 10% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No 10% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?No 19.9% 5.03 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?No 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?No 33% 3.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 48% 4.17 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 54% 11.11 shares
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?Yes 35% 5.49 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.2% 1,100 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 30% 13.33 shares
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?Yes 99.9% 1.61 shares