Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $860
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $185
Polymarket Trader
Salomon-Brothers
0xc2c445b90f67338b658b69e21001ea828de2c131
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.61K
- Realized PnL
- $16.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$965.31
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $748.88
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- User PnL
- $160.91
Yes position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.98
- Potential profit
- $500.98
- User PnL
- -$135.08
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.89
- Potential profit
- $152.89
- User PnL
- -$4.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.85
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.57
No position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $661.51
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.08
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.61
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $499.67
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $476.14
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $391.46
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.06
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.83
No position
Will Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.76
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.02
No position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $298.85
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $297.23
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.63
No position
Will Israel strike Syria on July 17?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.74
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.06
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $220
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $219.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 11% 404.33 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 56.9% 150 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 13.5% 404.34 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 78.4% 750 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 70.5% 1,146 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 36.6% 2,300 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 60% 2,300 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 58% 637.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 67% 462.36 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 61% 1,250 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No 78% 158 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No 77.2% 1,091 shares