No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.63K
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $380.56
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.03
Polymarket Trader
0xC2f0CdC980f8EB806Ba2467C0e0e4B5279277ab9-1780548514799
0xc2f0cdc980f8eb806ba2467c0e0e4b5279277ab9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.75K
- Realized PnL
- -$380.75
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$4.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $57.86
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$12.03
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $15.07
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $594.26
- Potential payout
- $663.98
- Potential profit
- $69.72
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$5.74
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $16.61
- Potential payout
- $405.09
- Potential profit
- $388.48
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$3.39
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $235.06
- Potential payout
- $259.74
- Potential profit
- $24.68
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $35.07
Yes position
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $9.76
- Potential payout
- $205.54
- Potential profit
- $195.78
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.24
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $181.94
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $7.63
- Potential payout
- $169.6
- Potential profit
- $161.97
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $20.77
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $133.08
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $99.56
- Potential payout
- $128.46
- Potential profit
- $28.9
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.87
- Potential profit
- $110.87
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $79.67
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $54.8
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$14.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $32.79
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$31.11
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.57
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$328.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?No 77.8% 128.46 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?No 75.9% 515.7 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 90.4% 663.98 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?No 77.6% 515.7 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 4.9% 405.09 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 77% 259.74 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 1,481.62 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 5.9% 169.6 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 12.1% 100 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.7% 238.26 shares