Polymarket Trader

moroder

0xc2f263223af140c6bc0f3c0738dffede12b59c80

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.94
Realized PnL: $58.4
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.72
Potential profit: $928.72
User PnL: -$9.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.93
Potential profit: $537.93
User PnL: -$19.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.74
Potential profit: $197.74
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.45
Potential profit: $167.45
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $103.45
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.56
Potential profit: $75.56
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $67.97
Potential profit: $65.15
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$7.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.46
Potential profit: $33.46
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.78
Potential profit: $31.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $23.43
Potential payout: $30.23
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $10.43

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.49
Potential profit: $29.49
User PnL: -$9.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.17
Potential profit: $24.17
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.8
Potential profit: $23.8
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.22
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$6.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.89
Potential profit: $20.89
User PnL: -$9.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.19
Potential profit: $16.19
User PnL: -$9.71

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.17
Potential profit: $15.17
User PnL: -$9.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.34
Potential profit: $13.34
User PnL: -$4.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.02
Potential profit: $8.02
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.14
Potential profit: $6.14
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $6.01
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.79
Potential profit: $5.79
User PnL: -$1.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 40% 7.5 shares
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 43% 30.23 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Yes 6.1% 16.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16?

Yes 47% 2.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?

Yes 15.5% 6.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16?

Yes 2.8% 33.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?

Yes 25% 3.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17?

Yes 4% 23.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 17?

Yes 36.3% 13.34 shares