No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $29.79K
- Potential payout
- $30.01K
- Potential profit
- $225.08
- User PnL
- $259.62
Polymarket Trader
Slowroasted
0xc30c0116e9a5c17f1c03240a0b02a819fe646509
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.33K
- Realized PnL
- $13.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $14.72K
- Potential payout
- $14.75K
- Potential profit
- $36.88
- User PnL
- $202.34
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $12.22K
- Potential payout
- $12.27K
- Potential profit
- $49.06
- User PnL
- $22.27
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $12.1K
- Potential payout
- $12.16K
- Potential profit
- $60.79
- User PnL
- $49.35
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $7.51K
- Potential payout
- $7.58K
- Potential profit
- $72.02
- User PnL
- $59.59
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $7.14K
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $53.98
- User PnL
- $65.13
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $6.67K
- Potential payout
- $6.7K
- Potential profit
- $23.44
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $6.09K
- Potential payout
- $6.27K
- Potential profit
- $178.55
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.58K
- Potential payout
- $4.59K
- Potential profit
- $11.48
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $169.36
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $64.35
No position
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $273.46
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $86.03
No position
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.1K
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $23.46
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $36.27
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $143.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $131.25
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- User PnL
- $18.75
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $2.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $156.23
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $54.79
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $195.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $58.51
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- User PnL
- $21.21
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $13.37
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $28
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $20.82
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.14
No position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $52.81
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $15.07
No position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $83.49
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.83
Procyon Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Vasco Esports (BO3)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $786.48
Yes position
Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $764.01
No position
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $682.24
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.31
500 position
Counter-Strike: 500 vs Washington (BO3)
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.13
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.63
No position
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.38
Yes position
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.83
SkinRave position
Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs LAG Gaming (BO3)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.1
Yes position
Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?
Ends Jan 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.78
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.82
Yes position
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.07
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.11
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.26
Alexander Zverev position
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.25
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.54
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.37
Yes position
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.09
No position
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.24
Alexander Blockx position
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 38% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 63% 50 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerFURIA 99% 925.43 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerFURIA 99% 179.83 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.9% 41.61 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.8% 18.63 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 51% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 66% 50 shares
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 53% 10.7 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No 96% 750 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.9% 0.65 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 97% 6,086.69 shares