PeppyGhosti2990

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $24.63
Potential payout: $231.25
Potential profit: $206.62
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: $13.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $20.73
Potential payout: $218.18
Potential profit: $197.45
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $11.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $161
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $31.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $34
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $166
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $26.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $165
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $27.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.1
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $13.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $186.7
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $143.57
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $145.43
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.65
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?