No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $365.34
Polymarket Trader
Noooooooop
0xc31516291191961a882c5b6e22fe9ba8035afe18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.03K
- Realized PnL
- $24.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.99K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $142.79
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $3.81K
- Potential payout
- $4.33K
- Potential profit
- $519.62
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$27.45
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.7K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $300.02
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $197.83
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.62K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $380.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.08
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $266
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $63.74
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.86K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $134.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $81.06
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $2.87K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $130.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $312.23
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $49.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $118.92
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $944.43
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $56.56
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $27.59
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $925
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $814.9
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $185.1
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$17.1
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $840.82
- Potential payout
- $999.79
- Potential profit
- $158.97
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $190.99
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $499
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $31
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $29.42
No position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $487.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $18.75
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $437.48
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $13.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $397
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $331.49
- Potential payout
- $351.15
- Potential profit
- $19.66
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $72.02
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $287.56
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $12.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $37.55
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $238.01
- Potential payout
- $250.01
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $236.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.83
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$180
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $60
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $925.77
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $866.08
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $838
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.22
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.73
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $727.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.31
No position
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.4
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.59
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.28
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.93
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.25
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.49
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $489.01
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.61
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 87% 390.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4,699.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.5% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 66% 6 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 99.3% 1,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 99.3% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.1% 200 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.9% 36 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.9% 13.04 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.9% 13.04 shares