Polymarket Trader

basileiarhomaion

0xc31e412dc32565f32a9e1b2e150361957db263fa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $694.71
Realized PnL: $218.5
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $694.71
Potential payout: $884.98
Potential profit: $190.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$11.39

No position

Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $710.01
Potential profit: $710.01
User PnL: -$77.83

No position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.33
Potential profit: $50.33
User PnL: -$12.08

Yes position

Will Russia capture Yablunivka before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.31
Potential profit: $19.31
User PnL: -$9.46

No position

Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$1

Stefanos Tsitsipas position

Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $12.05
User PnL: -$7.71

Raptors position

Timberwolves vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $6.02
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: October

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39
Potential profit: $4.39
User PnL: -$1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.82

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $62.87

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.6

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.65

Yankees position

Yankees vs. White Sox

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.97

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.06

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.93

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" during his announcement on September 2?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will Russia capture Khotin before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.75

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.17

No position

Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing 78% 29.52 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: June

Nothing 99.4% 0.2 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing 79% 21.87 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing 79% 18.09 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing 80% 758.59 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing 79% 10 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: June

Nothing 99.4% 379 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 71% 40 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 76.8% 21.15 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 80.1% 109.85 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 79.4% 45 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 79.2% 86 shares