Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $515.67
- Potential profit
- $514.9
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Polymarket Trader
emtf
0xc327160887453b4e7e2e6c0964c854055c79d803
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.23
- Realized PnL
- $2.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $229.98
- Potential profit
- $229.75
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200.03
- Potential profit
- $199.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $14.73
- Potential payout
- $86.14
- Potential profit
- $71.41
- Multiplier
- 5.85x
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.88
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.62
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $8.82
- Potential payout
- $39.02
- Potential profit
- $30.2
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.28
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $57.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.24
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?Yes 93% 2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?Yes 2% 30.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?Yes 86% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 21?Yes 0.6% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?Yes 10% 40.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?Yes 15% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?Yes 56% 5.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?No 48.6% 19.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?No 55% 19.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?Yes 55% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 21?Yes 3.4% 92.97 shares