Polymarket Trader

JamieMcIntosh

0xc3276a5824e85ac283f8a11a789957e6e9268273

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.14
Realized PnL: $340.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$22.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$34.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.85
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$33.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$43.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.55
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $24.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$71.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$27.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.42

No position

James Comey arrested by April 28?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 49.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 17.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 40% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 43.7% 100 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on June 1?

No 99.9% 3.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on June 1?

No 99.9% 3.8 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 1?

No 99.9% 3 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 1?

No 99.8% 2.61 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1?

No 99.8% 3.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on May 25?

No 99.9% 2.8 shares