Polymarket Trader

mkrwd

0xc3293565be46be4f240eaf3c41ef1e095ef61cc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $932.83
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.39

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.57

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.01

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.73

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.18

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.39

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.57

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.01

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.73

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.18

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.93

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.65

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.46

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.2

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.97

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.15

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.76

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$14.98

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$19.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?

Up 91% 180.72 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 909.09 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Up 42% 10 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Up 42% 50 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Up 44% 60 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Up 43.9% 100 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?

Up 95% 166.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 34% 285.71 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 416.66 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?

Up 51% 100 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?

Down 43% 487.8 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?

Down 50% 74.35 shares