Polymarket Trader

0xC3335AED1fFAFe0D413CBb08424a7086a212543e-1771076880804

0xc3335aed1ffafe0d413cbb08424a7086a212543e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $596.87
Realized PnL: $2.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19K
Potential profit: $19K
User PnL: -$38

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $7.37K
User PnL: -$29.99

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.58K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $298.9
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $846.32
Multiplier: 3.83x
User PnL: $233.13

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.1%
Current value: $288.24
Potential payout: $899.34
Potential profit: $611.1
Multiplier: 3.12x
User PnL: $225.24

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$10

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.22
Potential profit: $333.22
User PnL: -$140.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.4
Potential profit: $332.4
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $325
User PnL: -$34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.59
Potential profit: $243.59
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.82
Potential profit: $242.82
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.8
Potential profit: $235.8
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.59
Potential profit: $209.59
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.85
Potential profit: $199.85
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.33
Potential profit: $198.33
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.55
Potential profit: $195.55
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $194.46
Potential profit: $189.7
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$20.24

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.48
Potential profit: $189.48
User PnL: -$98.53

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $187.35
Potential profit: $182.39
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$15.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.5

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.26

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.12

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.93

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.17

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.98

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.86

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 18.6% 96.64 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.2% 1,652.82 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 52% 189.48 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 9,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 0.2% 7,500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 7,500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 0.2% 5,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9.9% 202.34 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.3% 581.4 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.4% 1,100 shares