No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$27.45
Polymarket Trader
2szabomark
0xc333f8df8d2cd43737f52a3edb2df34126af2165
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.13
- Realized PnL
- -$8.74
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $8.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $16.88
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.02
- Potential profit
- $17.02
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $15.79
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETUp 51% 17.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown 46% 2.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown 19% 15.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown 14% 21.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown 36% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown 41% 12.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp 54% 9.26 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 40% 25 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 28% 98.04 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 18% 27.78 shares