Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.65K
- Potential profit
- $6.65K
- User PnL
- -$145.99
Polymarket Trader
0xc35ee5712742a18Ec5AFae1Df5b97fb38253D368-1769783488584
0xc35ee5712742a18ec5afae1df5b97fb38253d368
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $440.67
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.24K
- User PnL
- -$79.8
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$9.59
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $134.55
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$465.45
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $612.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$139.5
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $62.54
- Potential payout
- $658.34
- Potential profit
- $595.8
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$84.54
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $484.87
- Potential profit
- $484.87
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195.3
- Potential profit
- $195.3
- User PnL
- -$80.01
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $114.92
- Potential payout
- $141.03
- Potential profit
- $26.1
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $44.47
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$11.84
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.72
- Potential profit
- $7.72
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 38% 52.63 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 78% 141.03 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 3.6% 106 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 1.9% 63.81 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 52% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 98.6% 151.12 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 66.2% 151.12 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 93.6% 279.62 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 50% 100 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 50% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 10% 1,538.46 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 13% 769.23 shares