No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $7.32K
- Potential payout
- $8.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Polymarket Trader
Doriath
0xc360b7771fe7c63139076a6f9e8c34b773badbb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.7K
- Realized PnL
- $63.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- User PnL
- -$2.11K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $4.25K
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $823.84
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.11K
- Potential payout
- $4.87K
- Potential profit
- $754.54
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $942.48
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $559.61
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- User PnL
- -$847.57
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$743.99
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $377.78
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $177.78
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $77.78
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $534.43
- Potential profit
- $534.43
- User PnL
- -$149.2
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$116.4
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $177.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $222.2
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$134.2
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.69
- Potential profit
- $309.69
- User PnL
- -$269.83
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $34.8
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $30.68
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $82.95
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$19.32
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.01
- Potential payout
- $15.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 4.1% 125.49 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 97.8% 469.47 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 44% 113.64 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 69% 144.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 87.3% 34.36 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes 91% 60.85 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 91% 549.45 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 88% 909.09 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 66.5% 601.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 75% 40 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 82% 170.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 81.7% 269.27 shares