Polymarket Trader

kjz

0xc36ad90e9b4d2548f303e8d69a1b828637c2c0f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $396.21
Realized PnL: $3.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $197.42
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $930.68
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$375.46

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.9
Potential profit: $599.9
User PnL: -$27.93

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.02
Potential profit: $500.02
User PnL: -$93.17

No position

North Korea missile launch by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$222.52

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $499.81
Potential profit: $490.56
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$50.73

No position

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $182.47
Potential payout: $213.42
Potential profit: $30.95
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $9.79

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.08
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $192.92
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$36.25

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$44.4

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $807.38

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $757

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.63

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.05

Yes position

Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.91

No position

Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.59

No position

Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6047182.21x
User PnL: $125.9

Yes position

Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.14

Yes position

Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.99

No position

Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.55

Yes position

Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.77

Yes position

Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.48

No position

Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

No position

Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 3175269.87x
User PnL: $30.27

No position

Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 869692.93x
User PnL: $28.42

No position

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier?

Ends Jan 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6637835.51x
User PnL: $22.74

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $22.5

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22

No position

Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 8153298.18x
User PnL: $19.66

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.54

No position

Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.16

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

Yes 1.3% 200 shares
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 0.5% 300 shares
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 100.31 shares
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 8.2% 41 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Yes 15% 95 shares
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 28 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

Yes 5.2% 300 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Yes 12% 600 shares
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

No 88% 100 shares
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 7.6% 1 shares
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 1.1% 999.92 shares
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11% 100 shares