Polymarket Trader

0xc38b913E7b2C18C45D9e02FB5b74229ADf1ed8a0-1760541005111

0xc38b913e7b2c18c45d9e02fb5b74229adf1ed8a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $604.34
Realized PnL: $1.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $179.98
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.09K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$663.3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $78.27
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$145.48

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$35.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $140.85
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $40.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.75
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$87

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$36.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $310.44

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.79

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $130.22

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.78

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.39

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.96

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.92

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.01

No position

Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.41

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.03

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.47

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.36

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.68

Kings position

Oilers vs. Kings

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Yes 87% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Up 1% 85.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Up 6% 25.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Up 26% 26.8 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 36.6% 45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Down 23% 8.89 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Yes 2% 250 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72% 200 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 19% 700 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 52% 200 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Yes 82% 200 shares