Polymarket Trader

Dimer

0xc39212e63a5cb886bb4fb96953cacc04f52b511b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $335.22
Realized PnL: $9.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.8K
Potential profit: $7.8K
User PnL: -$17.72

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $7.14K
User PnL: -$37.51

Yes position

No token launch by March 31

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41K
Potential profit: $5.41K
User PnL: -$5.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23K
Potential profit: $5.23K
User PnL: -$10.45

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$130

No position

Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $4.08K
User PnL: -$93.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.91K
User PnL: -$23.45

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.64K
User PnL: -$143.72

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token on March 19?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.77K
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
User PnL: -$111.9

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token on March 26?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.66K
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.59K
User PnL: -$41.49

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token on March 12?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $321.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $56.25

No position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$88.5

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $2.43K
User PnL: -$69.1

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token on March 9?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$4.44

No position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$282.48

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13.97
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$250.54

Yes position

Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $3.5m?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$126.4

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$356.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880.05

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.99

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.97

Yes position

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 70m and 80m views in first 24 hours?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $393.73

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $376.88

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330

Yes position

MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $258.55

No position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.45

No position

Will Charles Hoskinson attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.73

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.8

Yes position

Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.5

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.01

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.37

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.14

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $153

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.2

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.68

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.29

No position

Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.16

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $120

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will anyone say "Alien" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?

Yes 49.8% 65.39 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 53% 399.99 shares
Will anyone say "Clone" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?

Yes 50.5% 80 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?

No 48% 36.24 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?

No 50% 30.6 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?

No 49% 22.87 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 52% 95.28 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 82% 200 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.9% 1,702.33 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Yes 51% 20 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 43% 59.33 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 41.4% 200 shares