Polymarket Trader

0xc3b6...90d3

0xc3b6e941867b8e622093adcc88bc24c9a29890d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $11.44
Realized PnL: $230.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $449.42
Potential profit: $448.97
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$6.44

Yes position

Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.57
Potential profit: $408.57
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $358
Potential profit: $358
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.71
Potential profit: $299.71
User PnL: -$10.67

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $255
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.62
Potential profit: $167.62
User PnL: -$12.07

No position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.43
Potential profit: $161.43
User PnL: -$5.09

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $99.43
Potential profit: $88.44
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.4
Potential profit: $74.4
User PnL: -$2.04

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.33
Potential profit: $71.33
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.31
Potential profit: $69.31
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.74
Potential profit: $64.74
User PnL: -$16.89

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.91
Potential profit: $45.91
User PnL: -$6.81

Yes position

Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.16
Potential profit: $42.16
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.8
Potential profit: $40.8
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.9
Potential profit: $36.9
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.41
Potential profit: $34.41
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.91
Potential profit: $33.91
User PnL: -$8.37

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.92
Potential profit: $29.92
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.95
Potential profit: $27.95
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.6
Potential profit: $26.6
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.79
Potential profit: $25.79
User PnL: -$14.28

No position

Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.72
Potential profit: $24.72
User PnL: -$0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.77

No position

Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.59

Yes position

Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.29

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

No position

Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.63

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

No position

Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

No position

Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.48

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

No position

Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

No position

Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 93% 11.36 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

No 99.3% 3.93 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 5.9% 15.54 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 44% 11.36 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 5% 0.02 shares
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Yes 98% 4.04 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 5% 10.57 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

No 78% 2.55 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 5.9% 5 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 6.6% 60.91 shares
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Yes 98.9% 4.04 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 48% 8.33 shares