Yes position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $990.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
ergnaeriognare
0xc3b8cee2ac9fdfe97bfd591692093947b1915308
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $229.38
- Realized PnL
- $917.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $619.98
- Potential profit
- $619.98
- User PnL
- -$38.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.06
- Potential profit
- $396.06
- User PnL
- -$73.36
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308
- Potential profit
- $308
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.46
- Potential profit
- $238.46
- User PnL
- -$32.75
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.5
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $190.1
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $14.28
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $185.71
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $6.48
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.65
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.15
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.72
- Potential profit
- $83.72
- User PnL
- -$38.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.9
- Potential profit
- $79.9
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $20
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.96
- Potential profit
- $49.96
- User PnL
- -$43.07
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.49
Eagles position
Commanders vs. Eagles
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp 35% 4.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp 31% 4.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp 53% 19.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp 46% 24.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp 2% 49.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp 47% 29.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp 19% 19.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp 49.5% 9.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETDown 31% 19.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETDown 41% 9.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETDown 2% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETDown 5.6% 39.92 shares