Yes position
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $40.83
- Potential payout
- $16.33K
- Potential profit
- $16.29K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Polymarket Trader
butwheredotheswallowsfly
0xc3c5178f9c36b252e0e14dfeaca8078af3a74076
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $198.13
- Realized PnL
- -$4.7
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $36.79
- Potential payout
- $350.36
- Potential profit
- $313.57
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$73.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $102.75
- Potential payout
- $156.86
- Potential profit
- $54.12
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $22.75
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $36.64
- Potential profit
- $36.58
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $28.06
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.81
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.4
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $3.14
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$15.33
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$20.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51% 156.86 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.6% 101.35 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 89% 23.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.7% 104.49 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 47% 160.73 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.7% 333.33 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?No 0.9% 555.56 shares
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes 31% 322.58 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 8.2% 36.64 shares
- Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.3% 6,000 shares
- Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.3% 10,000 shares