Polymarket Trader

todjtvcx

0xc3d1b082267ee5937d829a7eba98f5fcb3212633

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.05
Realized PnL: $3.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Ducks position

Wild vs. Ducks

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$797.17

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $178.05
Potential payout: $188.41
Potential profit: $10.36
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.21
Potential profit: $172.21
User PnL: -$136.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wild position

Wild vs. Islanders

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86K

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

No 98% 135.49 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

No 99.6% 106.3 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 90% 20.02 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

No 99.3% 106.3 shares
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

No 93% 17.12 shares
Games Total: O/U 3.5

Over 79% 118.93 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 92.2% 63.21 shares
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?

No 99.3% 12.56 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?

No 96% 30.56 shares
Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?

No 99% 41.81 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

No 98% 41.4 shares
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Yes 93.3% 40.57 shares