No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $32.83K
- Potential payout
- $37.96K
- Potential profit
- $5.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$701.01
Polymarket Trader
0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455
0xc3db6a07351313cc684759dee1722d2bb1e90f98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $123.25K
- Realized PnL
- $131.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $34.79K
- Potential payout
- $36.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.51K
- Potential profit
- $20.51K
- User PnL
- -$4.71K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $14.91K
- Potential payout
- $18.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $541.04
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $11.69K
- Potential payout
- $16.13K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- -$141.01
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$225
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $7.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $6.18K
- Potential payout
- $6.4K
- Potential profit
- $220.76
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $163.17
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $717.1
- Potential payout
- $5.74K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.83K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $506.44
- Potential payout
- $5.63K
- Potential profit
- $5.12K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.73K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.14K
- Potential payout
- $5.55K
- Potential profit
- $416.62
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $138.87
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $3.42K
- Potential payout
- $5.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $27.77
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $4.61K
- Potential payout
- $5.29K
- Potential profit
- $680.17
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $290.43
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $654.58
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$754.77
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$387.26
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $984.28
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$581.47
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$555.22
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $107.29
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$15.82
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$197.36
Yes position
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$144.43
Over position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$47.94
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $733.33
- Potential profit
- $733.33
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $724.64
- Potential profit
- $724.64
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.04K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $16.35K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.99K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13K
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62K
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?Yes 6.9% 724.64 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 41% 263.63 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?No 16% 487.5 shares
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes 42% 426.19 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 11% 263.64 shares
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?Yes 12.9% 822.44 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 21% 441.14 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 40% 555 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 21% 142.86 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 6% 233.33 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 6% 250 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 6% 250 shares