No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $127.22
- Potential payout
- $292.46
- Potential profit
- $165.24
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $24.86
Polymarket Trader
vibekot
0xc3e5e0bd77873854a884f7942c4b5e5e4f62015d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $501.64
- Realized PnL
- $955.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $113.14
- Potential payout
- $119.66
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.14
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $103.6
- Potential payout
- $107.41
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $49.73
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $51.08
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $29.31
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $5.17
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $19.98
- Potential profit
- $17.09
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $8.48
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $9.37
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.7%
- Current value
- $11.29
- Potential payout
- $14.53
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.17
Yes position
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.22
No position
DeepSeek V4 released before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.79
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.26
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.69
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.24
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.44
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.07
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.32
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 93% 53.76 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 91% 54.95 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 34.48 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.8% 30.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.9% 103.51 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98% 12.27 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No 96.6% 31.06 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 29.3% 31.21 shares