Polymarket Trader

Fahgeyl

0xc3eb1d9facf62b0a62b2e43e40f97d6850ef376c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $968.68
Realized PnL: $5.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $86.84
Potential payout: $394.72
Potential profit: $307.88
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$13.58

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $312.77
Potential payout: $379.11
Potential profit: $66.34
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $57.36

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $64.69
Potential payout: $370.91
Potential profit: $306.22
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $9.58

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.99
Potential profit: $185.99
User PnL: -$12.58

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.01
Potential profit: $175.01
User PnL: -$16.71

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $28.01
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $106.99
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $42.69
Potential payout: $124.99
Potential profit: $82.31
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: -$7.68

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$34.8

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $67.79
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $52.21
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$3.01

No position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $117
User PnL: -$90.57

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45.2%
Current value: $45.15
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $54.85
Multiplier: 2.21x
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $93.55
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $5.45
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.77

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $61.63
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $23.38
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $14.28

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $17.24
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $62.76
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $7.16

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.67
Potential profit: $76.67
User PnL: -$25.77

Yes position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $27.8
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $23.21
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $45.99
Potential profit: $37.94
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$2.07

No position

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $34.17
Potential payout: $35.98
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $22.19
Potential payout: $34.41
Potential profit: $12.22
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$6.65

No position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $18.19
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $15.81
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$2.21

No position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $19.45
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $736.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.08

South Africa position

India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.04

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.99

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.46

India position

India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.16

Pakistan position

International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan (Game 1)

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.62

Over position

Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.48

South Africa position

India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.14

Yes position

Will Australia win?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.15

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.68

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.5

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.78

Yes position

Will Australia win?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.21

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.44

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.18

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.31

Yes position

Will Trump say "Thank" or "Thanks" 20+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.16

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.96

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

No 60% 20 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 97.8% 940 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 86.8% 190 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 7.3% 55 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5

Over 99.8% 40 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 51% 30 shares
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 38% 51 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

Under 99.8% 129.99 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

Under 73.1% 60 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 99.9% 25 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 85% 90 shares