No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $949.92
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $104.96
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$50.08
Polymarket Trader
0xc40320ef057d6e21c0595c15C3492e06E54c546F-1768317471556
0xc40320ef057d6e21c0595c15c3492e06e54c546f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.15K
- Realized PnL
- $928.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Over position
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $200.31
- Potential payout
- $205.76
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.29
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.12
Over position
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.19
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.82
No position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.6
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.81
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $27.59
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.36
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $680 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.88
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.86
No position
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $19.55
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.23
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.84
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.48
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 97.2% 205.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?No 94.8% 1,054.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown 96% 245.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown 83% 120.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown 80% 124.94 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.2% 205.76 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.7% 206.83 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.2% 106.16 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.1% 208.11 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.6% 207.05 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?No 67% 149.25 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 99.9% 210.52 shares