Polymarket Trader

Raion

0xc40744f75bd8a6e3af555100348fad243f4d8433

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $137.69
Realized PnL: $296.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 51.6%
Current value: $51.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $48.45
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $39.72
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $15.83
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.28

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.37
Potential profit: $41.37
User PnL: -$35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $33.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $6.2
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.4

Pimblett position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.1
Potential profit: $34.1
User PnL: -$23.53

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $12.62
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $12.37
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$9.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.64
Potential profit: $19.64
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $6.12
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.64

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.35

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.2

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.11

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.46

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.71x
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 55.56 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 76% 40 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 99.9% 35.29 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 85% 35.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Down 50% 6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Down 49% 6.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Down 51% 5.88 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37.8% 79.37 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 92% 50 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 77% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 51% 5.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94% 50 shares