Polymarket Trader

macrodispatch

0xc41275ea55687994466a2fdd5cf13b21ae45ceaf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.55K
Realized PnL: $15.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $696.66
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $100.75

Yes position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $911.29
Potential payout: $942.88
Potential profit: $31.59
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $82.81

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.71
Potential profit: $535.71
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $98.38
Potential payout: $444.16
Potential profit: $345.77
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $188.07
Potential payout: $214.94
Potential profit: $26.87
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.07

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $92.4
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $27.6
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $116.95
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $105.1
Potential payout: $118.62
Potential profit: $13.52
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $32.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $67.25
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $12.85

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $93.63
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $87.86
Potential profit: $85
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.84
Potential profit: $20.84
User PnL: -$10.01

Croatia position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?

Yes 5.5% 55 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 26.8% 5 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 21.9% 22.83 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 21.9% 91.32 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?

Yes 2.1% 142.86 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 87% 114.94 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 22.8% 100 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 22.8% 230 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 57% 800 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.9% 100 shares
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Yes 92% 4.34 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 57% 87.72 shares