Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $312
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$264
Polymarket Trader
BetterFish
0xc412fdbe9956c2e242e8b45fae131c3e8598592d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.36K
- Realized PnL
- $17.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $694.89
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $580.14
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$138.12
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $59.55
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $35.25
No position
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $817.89
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $182.1
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$30.1
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $852.15
- Potential payout
- $906.54
- Potential profit
- $54.39
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $33.42
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$582
No position
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$26.2
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $561
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $30.97
- Potential payout
- $563
- Potential profit
- $532.04
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$207.37
Yes position
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $304.91
- Potential payout
- $516.8
- Potential profit
- $211.89
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$23.29
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $492.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $499.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $402.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will "Obsession" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $354.86
- Potential payout
- $436.75
- Potential profit
- $81.89
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $40.6
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $22.79
- Potential payout
- $426.03
- Potential profit
- $403.24
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$62.41
No position
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $391.56
- Potential payout
- $401.6
- Potential profit
- $10.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $399.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.3%
- Current value
- $245.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $154.8
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $154.6
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $245.39
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $23.1
No position
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $324.29
- Potential payout
- $333.12
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.82
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $268.51
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $9.95
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $253.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $277.86
- Potential payout
- $278
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $6.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will Brian Armstrong say AI/Artificial Intelligence times during his X space?
Ends Feb 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $997.99
Yes position
Less than 26m people watch Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.29
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.06
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.43
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $603.58
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.47
Yes position
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Yes position
Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $597.6
No position
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.82
Yes position
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.57
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $542.49
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.81
Mamdani position
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.54
Yes position
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Ends Sep 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $502.57
No position
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.8
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 24,000,000 and 26,000,000?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $499
No position
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.99
Yes position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $472
No position
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes 5.1% 281.9 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Yes 1% 281.24 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes 6.1% 161 shares
- Will the match not air?No 99.6% 100 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 97% 367.6 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 97% 198.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.6% 228.97 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 73% 13.21 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 93.5% 193.15 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 85% 312.32 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 91.6% 304.28 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Yes 98.6% 62.69 shares