Polymarket Trader

0xc422...ae44

0xc422272c6dafa6a37645dd8e9a1a6728d73fae44

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $463.65
Realized PnL: $239.79
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $34.64
Potential payout: $602.41
Potential profit: $567.77
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$15.36

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $40.52
Potential payout: $311.7
Potential profit: $271.18
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$85.12

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $123.91
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $21.01
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $23.91

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $111.44
Potential payout: $143.06
Potential profit: $31.62
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $113.73
Potential payout: $139.56
Potential profit: $25.83
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $13.73

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $39.03
Potential payout: $122.17
Potential profit: $83.13
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$29.3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$49.63

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.95
Potential profit: $30.95
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $7.32
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.11

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.1

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.91

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $13.7

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.11

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 21% 14.29 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 24% 12.5 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 8% 37.5 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 18% 16.67 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 41% 7.32 shares
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 42% 92.59 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 24% 21.73 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 54% 9.26 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17?

Yes 44% 113.64 shares