Polymarket Trader

Gourmet1

0xc430e5b17128df7ce78d69fa28bc7de038641ebf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $329.49K
Realized PnL: $3.77K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $11K
Potential payout: $2M
Potential profit: $1.99M
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $4.28K

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $12.59K
Potential payout: $1.33M
Potential profit: $1.31M
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$4.71K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $28.08K
Potential payout: $1.11M
Potential profit: $1.08M
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $995.5K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $52.65K
Potential payout: $900K
Potential profit: $847.35K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $6.49K

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $5.85K
Potential payout: $900K
Potential profit: $894.15K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.35K

Under position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $182.46K
Potential payout: $323K
Potential profit: $140.54K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$54K

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94K
Potential profit: $94K
User PnL: -$30.08K

Yes position

Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.64K
Potential profit: $71.64K
User PnL: -$28.19K

Over position

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.68K
Potential profit: $50.68K
User PnL: -$20.78K

No position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.75K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $38.25K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$5.25K

Under position

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.53K
Potential profit: $26.53K
User PnL: -$17.14K

Yes position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $6.94K
Potential payout: $23.52K
Potential profit: $16.58K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $3.29K

No position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $12.19K
Potential payout: $21.21K
Potential profit: $9.01K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $9.95K
Potential profit: $8.61K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$547.51

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $136.29
Potential payout: $633.89
Potential profit: $497.6
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$9.51

No position

Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.26
Potential profit: $213.26
User PnL: -$96.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Mensik position

Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23K

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.75

Under position

Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Adrian Mannarino position

HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5

Under 56% 25,745.62 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Under 64% 208.66 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Under 64.6% 26,322.01 shares
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino 36% 110.87 shares
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

No 45.5% 213.26 shares
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Yes 26.7% 733.33 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 47% 6,993.81 shares
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 14,087.23 shares
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 8,190.4 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 46% 8,106.02 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 1,048.84 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

No 54% 100,000 shares