Polymarket Trader

BlackrockDeHacendado

0xc43180b371fb0e342f2e78e7fdb51b36cff63bf8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.29
Realized PnL: $65.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $986.19
Potential profit: $986.19
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or below on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.7
Potential profit: $281.7
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Empoli FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$6.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 26, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $12.29
Potential payout: $238.62
Potential profit: $226.33
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $12.05

No position

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.9
Potential profit: $198.9
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.21
Potential profit: $127.21
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.8
Potential profit: $112.8
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 0°C or below on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.9
Potential profit: $104.9
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the match end in a draw?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.5
Potential profit: $82.5
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.75
Potential profit: $73.75
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or below on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.39

Yes position

Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.36

Zero Tenacity position

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Humbert position

Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 196.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 0.59 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?

No 5% 15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 500 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?

Yes 7% 3.16 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?

No 21% 4.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Yes 4.8% 10.7 shares
Tenerife 2: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Aguilar 0.1% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 14.99 shares
Will Italy win?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 0.4% 39.38 shares
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert

Humbert 12% 20 shares