Polymarket Trader

fernandin

0xc437359738ffd2265fb0d7b63ab1d48e60d0d9a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $764.28
Realized PnL: $48.73
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $678.16
Potential payout: $41.1K
Potential profit: $40.42K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$256.59

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $26.53
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $37.89
Potential payout: $317.05
Potential profit: $279.17
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $206.67
Potential profit: $206.25
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$3.59

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $53.68
Potential profit: $52.37
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $16.64
Potential payout: $29.45
Potential profit: $12.81
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-14?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.08
Potential profit: $17.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-14?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.69
Potential profit: $15.69
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.13

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.28

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

No position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.48

No position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 11.5% 95.65 shares
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.4% 2,122.11 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.6% 953.01 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 56% 12.5 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 3.7% 53.68 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

No 55% 7.27 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.3% 900 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?

Yes 1.2% 166.67 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 35% 5.71 shares