No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $32.06
- Potential payout
- $32.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
TrissMerigold
0xc43acbc1074f168d6cabcd4bebedf041bd10ba58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $149.11
- Realized PnL
- $142.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $11.78
- Potential payout
- $28.05
- Potential profit
- $16.27
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25.03
- Potential payout
- $25.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Solana dip to $20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.32
- Potential payout
- $23.32
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $12.3
- Potential payout
- $18.5
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.86
- Potential payout
- $16.86
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.06
- Potential payout
- $15.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $13.93
- Potential profit
- $13.26
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$12.43
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.03
- Potential payout
- $12.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.22
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump say "N Word" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will United Airlines say "On-Time" or "On Time" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Don’t Be Dumb by A$AP Rocky be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 31?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.7% 15.06 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No 99.9% 25.03 shares
- Will Solana dip to $20 in May?No 99.9% 23.32 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.8% 16.86 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.8% 32.06 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?Yes 98.5% 12.03 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No 98.6% 10.33 shares
- Will Solana dip to $10 in April?No 99.8% 35.05 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?No 99.8% 35.06 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No 99.5% 53.75 shares
- Will Solana dip to $10 in March?No 99.9% 25.04 shares
- Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes 37% 28.05 shares