Polymarket Trader

caden41raven

0xc43b9ec305ee5b765684e551a9b5bbf52875cfb5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $92.51
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.6%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $17.79

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $10.82

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $8.12

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $3.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.6%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $17.79

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $10.82

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $8.12

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88.4%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.1%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.2%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.2%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.4%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 83.6% 67 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 83.9% 773.2 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 83.9% 841 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 94.8% 238 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 95.6% 238 shares
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 1.6% 2,765 shares
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 1.5% 3,603 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 97.1% 1,001 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 97.3% 1,001 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 2.7% 756.22 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98% 908 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 11.4% 24.42 shares