Polymarket Trader

MushroomKing80

0xc43bb6a578290d65a00b84c6edc3e5a4ee85784d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.11K
Realized PnL: $16.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $492.86
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $13.79K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $192.87

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $709.36
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $209.36

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $432.81
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$67.19

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $354.12
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $154.12

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $122.98
Potential payout: $390.41
Potential profit: $267.43
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$77.02

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.87
Potential profit: $129.87
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $17.4
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$8.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

Yes position

Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $745.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720.72

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $626.48

Barcelona position

Champions League Quarterfinals: Barcelona vs. Dortmund

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.73

PSG position

Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villa

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.27

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.17

Inter Milan position

Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milan

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.4

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top Champions League scorer?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.77

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.98

No position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.17

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.87

No position

Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.93

Arsenal position

Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.04

Yes position

Will Barcelona beat Celta Vigo?

Ends Apr 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.21

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.87

No position

Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.56

Yes position

Will Lazio win on 2025-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 129.87 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 51.2% 390.41 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 2,352.94 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 62% 322.58 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 14,285.71 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 52% 156.25 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 49% 312.5 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.6% 3,665.92 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 3,125 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 28% 178.57 shares
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 2% 768.36 shares