Polymarket Trader

PadreMaronno

@PolyMaronno

0xc468b3b8564017fcf2bf9ede2608a0ea24b1009d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.92K
Realized PnL: $3.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $497.25
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $377.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $22.6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $61.4

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $11.6
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $388.39
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$4

Sinner position

Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $167.04
Potential payout: $379.63
Potential profit: $212.59
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$15.26

Alcaraz position

Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $198.63
Potential payout: $354.7
Potential profit: $156.07
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $18.66

No position

Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $349.6
Potential payout: $351.89
Potential profit: $2.29
User PnL: $14.96

Yes position

Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.38
Potential profit: $325.38
User PnL: -$204.23

Yes position

Will Juventus place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $321.31
Potential profit: $321.31
User PnL: -$13.58

Yes position

Will Lazio win Coppa Italia?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$28.6

No position

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $228
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $255.04
Potential payout: $294.84
Potential profit: $39.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $53.33

Yes position

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $27.97
Potential payout: $294.42
Potential profit: $266.45
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$42.2

No position

Will Trump say "Match" or "Game" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $10.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189.1
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $185
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $197.89
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $195.89
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.46
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$19.26

No position

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $138.16
Potential payout: $146.67
Potential profit: $8.51
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $139.11
Potential profit: $136.33
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$22.84

No position

Will Trump say "Fossil" or "Fuel" during coal announcement?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.82
Potential profit: $134.82
User PnL: -$83.69

No position

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $123.56
Potential payout: $127.78
Potential profit: $4.22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $23.78

Yes position

Will Como place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.59
Potential profit: $127.59
User PnL: -$7.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.67

Yes position

Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.76

No position

Will Leavitt say "President" 69+ times during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.56

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $186.67

Yes position

Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.61

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.2

Yes position

Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $175.05

Yes position

UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.71

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.85

No position

Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.51

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.9

No position

Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during remarks on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.7

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Cyber" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.43

No position

Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117

Yes position

Will Hillary's remarks not air?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.42

Yes position

Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.01

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will "Ronaldo" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.33

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Investment" 5+ times during the private dinner on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.04

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.17

No position

Will Powell say "Labor Market" 10+ times during speech on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.1

No position

Will Trump say "Good looking" during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.89

No position

Will Elon say "Saudi" during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Knicks" this week?

No 95.7% 6.5 shares
Will Trump say "Cognitive" this week?

No 95% 84.07 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 76% 60 shares
Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 55% 10 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 55% 20 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 17% 99.99 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.6% 78.94 shares
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 32.43 shares
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 250 shares
Will Trump say "President Xi" during meeting with French President?

No 96.9% 164.39 shares
Will Trump say "Fake News" during meeting with French President?

No 90% 9 shares
Will Trump say "Erdogan" during meeting with French President?

No 96% 10.4 shares