Yes position
Will Trump resign today?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$649.3
Polymarket Trader
rapeygroyper
0xc4723315c071997a3f7bd19f16cf873a29eeced9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.64K
- Realized PnL
- $2.65K
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.76K
- Potential profit
- $57.76K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $33.23K
- Potential profit
- $31.58K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $988.08
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.85K
- Potential profit
- $16.85K
- User PnL
- -$1.79K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.13K
- User PnL
- -$91.73
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- User PnL
- -$66
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- User PnL
- -$111
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$83.16
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$90.92
Tate position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$117.54
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $798.84
- Potential profit
- $798.84
- User PnL
- -$141.92
Yes position
Obama in jail in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $717.37
- Potential profit
- $717.37
- User PnL
- -$20.13
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $676.45
- Potential profit
- $676.45
- User PnL
- -$62.91
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.53
- Potential profit
- $571.53
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $480
- User PnL
- -$10.73
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.57
- Potential profit
- $272.57
- User PnL
- -$38.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $810
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $352.57
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.33
Iowa State position
Spread: Iowa State (-5.5)
Ends Sep 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.11
Yes position
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.41
Yes position
Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Obama arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.64
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.86
Yes position
China-EU trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.05
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.15
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.1
Yes position
Obama federally charged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.12
Yes position
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.49
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.03
Yes position
US military action against Iran in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$130.55
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$148.96
No position
Iran strike on Israel in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 9,000 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 19% 1,000 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 8,435.62 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 15,789.47 shares
- Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes 3% 514.2 shares
- Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes 2.9% 597.01 shares
- Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorTate 24% 210 shares
- Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes 2% 10,122.97 shares
- Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes 1.5% 1,489.33 shares
- U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?Yes 0.8% 1,134.34 shares
- Obama arrested in 2025?Yes 0.4% 612 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Yes 0.3% 1,429.96 shares