Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.91
- Potential profit
- $26.91
- User PnL
- -$5.92
Polymarket Trader
Violetshade
0xc47312adc7bcf1be70f83df4ce45bb4b298ebb7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.33
- Realized PnL
- $68.67
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $19.33
- Potential payout
- $20.45
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.96
Karmine Corp GC position
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.58
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$7.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 20.45 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 88% 22.73 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp 52.1% 47.98 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp 51% 48.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 66% 150.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 63% 150.79 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No 75% 132.47 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No 80.8% 132.47 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 94% 114.6 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 89% 114.61 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.9% 105.59 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 96.6% 105.59 shares