Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
0xc47CF3DC7937F9898316e15ff2756e4dbf22BD10-1774648113534
0xc47cf3dc7937f9898316e15ff2756e4dbf22bd10
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.42
- Realized PnL
- -$21.27
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $398
- Potential profit
- $398
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $23.33
- Potential payout
- $289.86
- Potential profit
- $266.52
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $37.09
- Potential payout
- $253.16
- Potential profit
- $216.08
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $17.09
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.39
- Potential profit
- $114.39
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Yes position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $34.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 253.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?Yes 25.1% 398 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Yes 18% 108.58 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 0.6% 16 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Yes 80% 100 shares
- Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 67% 6.86 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 31% 100 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 20 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.9% 289.86 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 63% 158.73 shares
- Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?Yes 26.2% 114.39 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 18% 555.56 shares