Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $110.27
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$139.73
Polymarket Trader
0xC486FE5af67BC2251f22b6F2C93377661601fB06-1771684000890
0xc486fe5af67bc2251f22b6f2c93377661601fb06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.27
- Realized PnL
- -$13.59
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $938.13
- Potential profit
- $938.13
- User PnL
- -$45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.45
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 625 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes 14% 1,165.07 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes 17.2% 1,165.07 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down 85% 260.52 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down 76% 260.53 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes 4.8% 938.13 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 1,071.43 shares