Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $34.99
- Potential payout
- $225.01
- Potential profit
- $190.02
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Polymarket Trader
0xC4897AA49d3c012Bd113488e79Ab948E3CDB8339-1762978667703
0xc4897aa49d3c012bd113488e79ab948e3cdb8339
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.89
- Realized PnL
- $58.56
- Win rate
- 47.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $20.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $8.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.1
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.13
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.83x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
No position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Y
Yes position
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes 70% 15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 90% 57 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 49% 9 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 89% 12 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 56% 11 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 56% 9 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 51% 9 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 69% 15 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 20.1% 40 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 43% 20 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 85% 25 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 51% 20 shares