Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $15.32
- Potential payout
- $68.1
- Potential profit
- $52.78
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Polymarket Trader
0xc48f...37f1
0xc48f09256349a2f40853def12219186febf837f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $27.27
- Realized PnL
- $46.72
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $17.97
- Potential profit
- $13.57
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Gentle Mates position
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.3
Bounty Hunters Esports position
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $7.75
Honvéd position
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group B
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.89
Keyd position
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.38
Wildcard position
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Up 25% 8.87 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Up 26.2% 8.85 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Up 27% 8.93 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Up 26% 4.08 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Up 25% 4.24 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Up 25% 4.24 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Up 23% 9.65 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Up 24% 4.42 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Up 26% 4.08 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Up 26% 8.92 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Up 23% 9.65 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Up 25% 6.52 shares