Polymarket Trader

mkilo12

0xc48f2025fe1861401def759a900b8f4a0314306b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $80.79
Realized PnL: $5.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.25
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $21.61
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $78.69
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $19.92

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.3
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.3
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $10.28
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $90.02
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: $8.59

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.3
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.3
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $84.3
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $99.05
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.25
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.67
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $94.63
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.25
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $98.95
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.25
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.3
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.15
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.15
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $100.15
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $13.09
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $87.21
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $11.39

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $7.77
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $92.53
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $6.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.49

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.96

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.56

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.46

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.27

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.01

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.72

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.44

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.8% 55.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.9% 55.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.9% 55.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 88.7% 55.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

No 93.9% 49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 83.6% 56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99.8% 56.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

No 98.1% 56.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

No 97.9% 55.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 99.9% 8,895.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 99.6% 54.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.9% 53.99 shares