Polymarket Trader

chigua

0xc4ad7b8532ec021ba871dea7e67dcb6f2862af2e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $152
Realized PnL: $1.26K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Pistons

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$1.89K

Nets position

Heat vs. Nets

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$620

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.86
Potential profit: $519.86
User PnL: -$70.86

Wizards position

Suns vs. Wizards

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Bulls position

Timberwolves vs. Bulls

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288
Potential profit: $288
User PnL: -$100.8

Nets position

Warriors vs. Nets

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$100

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $91
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $109
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$7

Spurs position

Cavaliers vs. Spurs

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166
Potential profit: $166
User PnL: -$99.6

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $61
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $31.72

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$29.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.2

Timberwolves position

Thunder vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Heat

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.7

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Magic

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pelicans

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.25

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Thunder position

Hawks vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.32

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$30.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 32.5% 216.66 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 49% 200 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 11% 600 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 25% 78 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

No 41% 400 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 39% 200 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 34% 199.99 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 65% 46 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

No 95% 33 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 98.7% 31 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 89% 34 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 90% 33 shares